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WiMAX Will Dominate Fixed
Broadband Wireless Market but Mobile Services Using the Technology Will
Be Slower to Take Off
Other Topics: WiMAX Test Platform,
Multimedia WiMAX Applications,
Broadband Wireless Networking
WiMAX
February 7, 2006
Mobile and Fixed 802.16e WiMAX
to Overshadow Fixed-Only 802.16-2004 WiMAX by 2010
Sammamish, WA -- WiMAX will quickly dominate the fixed broadband
wireless market, but its success in the mobile arena will be slower and
more difficult to achieve, according to "Fixed or mobile WiMAX?
Forecasts and assessment for the transition from 802.16-2004 to 802.16e
WiMAX," a new report from Senza Fili Consulting.
Despite this, 802.16e -- the version of WiMAX that supports mobile
access -- will be the clear winner over 802.16-2004, which only supports
fixed services. Its superior performance meets the requirements of both
fixed and mobile service providers and creates the economies of scale
needed to drive equipment prices down. Even though it will not be
available for a year or more after 802.16-2004, 57% of WiMAX subscribers
will be using 802.16e by 2010. |
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However, mobile operators with 3G networks will not be the first to
adopt WiMAX, according to Monica Paolini, author of the report. "New and
established service providers that are eager to enter the mobility and
portability market, but do not have cellular spectrum, will drive WiMAX
adoption," she said.
WiMAX offers both fixed and mobile access over the same infrastructure,
opening the way for a new personal broadband service that gives users
continuous broadband Internet access at home, at work, and while they
are on the move.
By 2010, there will be 15.4 million WiMAX subscribers worldwide,
generating US$16.5 billion in service revenues. "The hottest markets
will be emerging countries like China and Mexico where WiMAX is a
cost-effective last-mile solution, and countries like Korea with a high
demand for portable and mobile services," said Paolini. In 2010, 41% of
subscribers will be in Asia-Pacific countries.
WiMAX's success will depend on the availability of 802.16e
WiMAX-certified products early in 2007 and on a substantial price
reduction for portable and mobile subscriber units, which Senza Fili
Consulting forecast to decline to the US$140-190 range by 2010.
This report assesses the technology and market potential of mobile and
fixed WiMAX over the next five years. It includes an in-depth forecast
of subscribers, service revenues and equipment revenues for 15
countries, six regions and for the worldwide market. The report is
available at www.senzafiliconsulting.com. |
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