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Senza Fili Consulting Market Report Abstract

Fixed or mobile WiMAX? Forecasts and assessment for the transition from 802.16-2004 to 802.16e WiMAX

US$ 2,995 Single user license, PDF


US$ 3,495 Singe user license, PDF and paper copy


US$ 6,495 Corporate global license, PDF


US$ 6,995 Corporate global license, PDF and paper copy

The report "Fixed or mobile WiMAX? Forecasts and assessment for the transition from 802.16-2004 to 802.16e WiMAX" presents an in-depth analysis of the market dynamics for the two versions of WiMAX, and for both fixed and mobile services. 

The presence of two, mutually incompatible, versions of WiMAX creates a challenge for everyone in the industry, namely, picking the version that will fare best in the long run. 802.16-2004 WiMAX only supports fixed access, but products are already available. 802.16e WiMAX supports mobile and fixed access but products are still at least a year away. Vendors need to understand what demand there is for these two technologies in order to refine their product roadmaps. Service providers want to understand which technology best meets their requirements and will enjoy long-term support from vendors.

The report addresses these issues, while providing an extensive overview of WiMAX technology, competing technologies, regulation, and business models. It gives a very detailed forecast of subscribers, service revenues and equipment revenues for 15 countries, 6 regions and for the worldwide market.

Topics covered:
  • The differences between  802.16-2004 and 802.16e in terms of functionality, performance, services supported, target market segments and regulatory implications.
  • The market dynamics for fixed and mobile WiMAX access in different regions and different market segments
  • WiMAX technology
  • Standardization efforts
  • The role of the WiMAX Forum and its certification program for interoperability
  • Upgrade paths to 802.16e WiMAX for service providers using 802.16-2004 WiMAX or proprietary solutions
  • Competition from wired technologies (DSL, cable modem, fiber-to-the-home) and from wireless technologies (Wi-Fi, 3G including WCDMA, HSDPA, EV-DO, TD-CDMA, and proprietary solutions like Qualcomm's FLASH-OFDM)
  • Timeline for WiMAX product availability
  • Spectrum availability and regulatory impact on WiMAX deployments
  • WiMAX fixed and mobile services and applications
  • Comparison of the WiMAX opportunity for service providers in the residential and business, rural and metropolitan, emerging and developed markets, as well as municipal networks
  • Vendors' perspective on the development of the WiMAX market and their product strategy for transitioning current customers to 802.16e WiMAX
  • Profiles of 23 major vendors
  • Drivers towards adoption of WiMAX, deployment timeline, services offered and market size in the largest markets worldwide

Extensive forecast (2006-2010) of WiMAX demand, service revenues and equipment revenues
The forecast presents data at the global, regional and country level as shown below.

Regions   Countries
North America
Latin America
Western Europe
Eastern Europe
Asia Pacific
Rest of the World

For each market, the forecast includes:
  • Fixed and mobile broadband subscribers
  • Fixed and mobile WiMAX subscribers
  • Data and VoIP service revenues
  • Data revenues by market segment
  • Residential, business and mobile ARPU
  • Equipment revenues

Companies mentioned:
O2, Access Telecom, ADP Telecom, Afribone Mali, Airspan, Alcatel, Altitude, Altitude Telecom, Alvarion, Aperto, ArrayComm, AT&T, Axtel, Axxcelera Broadband Wireless, Beceem, BelAir, Bell Canada, BellSouth, Biva, Brasil Telecom, BT, Cambridge Broadband, Clearwire, Dedicado, Delta Networks, Deutsche Telekom, Digitel, Digiweb, EarthLink, Enertel, Entel, Ericsson, Ertach, FarmTel, Flarion, France Telecom, Fujitsu, GemTek Technology, Global Catalyst Partners, Hanaro, Hopling Technologies, Huawei, Iberbanda, Iliad, InfiNet Wireless, Intel, Intel Capital, IntroWeb, Inukshuk, IP Wireless, Irish Broadband, JStream Technologies, Korea Telecom, KT, KTB Ventures, Libera, Link 3, Lucent, Marconi, MiTAC, Motorola, MVS Comunicaciones, Navini, Netia, Nex-G, Nextel, NextNet, NextWeb/Covad, Nortel, Orange, picoChip, Pipex, Protel, Proxim, Qualcomm, Quantum Broadband Solutions, Qwest, Radionet, Redline, Reliance Infocomm, Rogers Communications, Runcom, Samsung, Samsung Venture Investment Corporation, SBC, SEQUANS Communications, Sequoia Capital, Siemens Mobile, SiGe Semiconductor, Singtel, SK Telecom, SkyPilot, Smart, Soma Networks, Speakeasy, Sprint Nextel, SR Technologies, Telabria, TeleCis Wireless, Telkom SA, Telmex, Terabeam, Time, Time Warner Cable, T-Mobile, TowerStream, UHT, UK Broadband, Ultranet, Unwired, VCom, Walden International, WaveIP, WaveRider, Wavesat, Whoosh Wireless, Wi-LAN, WiMAX Telecom, Yozan, Z-Com, ZTE.

Publication date: February 2006

Number of pages: 164

About the author:
Monica Paolini is the founder and president of Senza Fili Consulting. She is a well-known expert in fixed and mobile wireless broadband access (BWA) technologies, such as WiMAX, WCDMA, HSDPA, EV-DO, Wi-Fi and other proprietary technologies. She often speaks at conferences worldwide and has written several reports and articles on BWA and on convergence among different broadband technologies. She has helped vendors, service providers and other telecom and high-tech companies worldwide to assess technology, market and financial opportunities. Assignments completed include strategy formulation, financial modeling, market forecasts and research, white paper preparation, business plan support, due diligence, training, and evaluation of end-user interface requirements. Prior to Senza Fili Consulting, she worked at Analysys Consulting, where she advised a wide range of telecommunication clients. She has a PhD in Cognitive Science from the University of California, San Diego, an MBA from the University of Oxford, and a BA/MA in Philosophy from the University of Bologna (Italy). She can be contacted at

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